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Red110
114338.5
22554.1
620323.4
Blue101
19338.0
22326.9
540438.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191046080140160180110101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
54.10.6
54.353.8
Auto15.2
Teleop31.4
End7.6
red by 16.0
5404
#27
38.10.5
37.837.3
Auto8.2
Teleop23.9
End6.1
Second
1143
#12
38.50.6
35.334.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End5.2
red by 0.5
193
#16
38.00.5
39.038.5
Auto8.9
Teleop22.4
End6.7
Third
6203
#53
23.40.6
24.023.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 3.5
223
#55
26.90.5
26.425.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed64%Capture oddsMissed