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Red99
125731.7
566624.8
171229.2
Blue101
260734.2
164728.5
139128.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908940608010012014099101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#52
31.70.8
37.037.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.9
End4.0
blue by 2.5
2607
#29
34.20.6
30.931.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Second
29.20.8
27.127.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 0.8
1647
#28
28.50.6
26.427.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Third
5666
#57
24.80.8
23.524.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 3.7
28.50.6
29.830.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned