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Red102
601624.5
593823.8
434230.0
Blue118
86944.7
1132.8
108936.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6712850100150200102118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#34
30.00.8
29.029.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End5.4
blue by 14.7
869
#10
44.70.2
43.343.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End11.9
Second
6016
#30
24.50.8
23.124.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End3.1
blue by 11.6
1089
#21
36.10.2
40.740.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End3.5
Third
5938
#51
23.80.8
22.323.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
blue by 9.0
11
#45
32.80.2
31.531.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed34%Capture oddsMissed