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Red84
42326.0
164040.5
167625.0
Blue95
540727.9
589541.0
162632.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971104060801201401608495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#49
40.50.8
41.640.7
Auto12.9
Teleop23.2
End4.4
blue by 0.6
41.00.6
45.745.0
Auto11.0
Teleop25.1
End5.0
Second
423
#56
26.00.8
25.824.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.1
blue by 6.5
1626
#25
32.40.6
31.230.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Third
1676
#54
25.00.8
29.128.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 2.9
5407
#36
27.90.6
27.927.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsMissed32%Capture oddsEarned