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Red94
214433.5
999921.3
213530.5
Blue79
1678C17.0
11436.3
999921.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93906070801001101201309479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#18
33.50.4
37.738.1
Auto8.3
Teleop21.5
End3.7
blue by 2.8
114
#14
36.30.8
38.537.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.8
End3.4
Second
2135
#12
30.50.4
28.128.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End4.1
red by 9.1
9999
#16
21.31.3
21.820.6
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
Third
9999
#16
21.31.3
21.820.6
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
red by 4.3
17.01.3
30.028.7
Auto-1.4
Teleop15.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsMissed