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Red57
617426.5
581728.1
Blue124
97344.2
1671B20.1
167152.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64117020030040057124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#24
28.11.5
26.124.6
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 24.8
52.80.9
46.947.7
Auto14.9
Teleop32.2
End5.8
Second
6174
#13
26.51.5
32.230.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 17.8
973
#7
44.20.9
36.437.3
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
Third
5.32.5
11.59.0
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.7
blue by 14.8
20.10.9
22.623.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed30%Capture oddsMissed