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Red77
5817B18.6
348229.1
2073B35.6
Blue135
1678B33.8
132353.6
973B41.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73117020030040050077135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.0
33.433.4
Auto8.6
Teleop23.1
End3.8
blue by 18.0
53.61.8
44.746.6
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
Second
3482
#28
29.10.0
27.927.9
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.4
blue by 12.1
41.21.8
31.733.5
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
Third
18.60.0
16.015.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 15.2
33.83.0
31.434.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsEarned