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Qual 102016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red106
11436.3
385937.2
510430.7
Blue34
281320.8
581728.1
417110.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11257010015020025010634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#17
37.20.3
41.9→42.2
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
red by 9.1
5817
#24
28.11.9
28.0→26.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Second
114
#14
36.30.3
38.1→38.5
Auto7.1
Teleop25.8
End3.4
red by 15.6
2813
#29
20.81.9
17.0→15.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Third
5104
#10
30.70.3
21.0→21.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End5.1
red by 20.6
4171
#22
10.11.9
17.9→16.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed