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Red65
349527.7
213530.5
1323B31.7
Blue90
549928.7
97344.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1255801001502006590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.73.5
43.039.5
Auto2.8
Teleop25.5
End3.3
blue by 12.6
973
#7
44.20.9
35.536.4
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
Second
2135
#12
30.53.5
31.628.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End4.1
red by 1.8
5499
#23
28.70.9
20.421.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Third
3495
#26
27.73.5
37.433.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End2.4
red by 22.4
5.31.6
10.011.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsMissed16%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed