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Red192
425515.1
167866.5
97173.4
Blue144
167152.8
207352.2
999921.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18785050100150250300192144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
73.41.6
80.982.5
Auto22.4
Teleop38.9
End12.0
red by 20.5
52.83.1
43.746.9
Auto14.9
Teleop32.2
End5.8
Second
66.51.6
71.373.0
Auto17.9
Teleop42.8
End5.9
red by 14.3
52.23.1
36.840.0
Auto9.1
Teleop38.4
End4.6
Third
4255
#32
15.11.6
15.216.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 6.2
9999
#16
21.35.2
16.621.8
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
95%Capture oddsEarned9%Capture oddsEarned