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Red85
585228.4
971C30.7
999921.3
Blue124
2135B31.7
971B52.4
214433.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929260708010011012013085124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.0
38.938.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.4
End4.8
blue by 21.6
52.43.4
38.141.5
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
Second
5852
#15
28.40.0
29.629.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 5.1
2144
#18
33.52.0
35.637.7
Auto8.3
Teleop21.5
End3.7
Third
9999
#16
21.30.0
16.716.6
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
blue by 10.4
31.73.4
19.723.1
Auto9.5
Teleop20.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsMissed