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Qual 212016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red187
132353.6
207352.2
971B52.4
Blue81
617426.5
2135B31.7
385937.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389205020025030035018781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#5
53.64.0
45.3→49.2
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
red by 16.3
3859
#17
37.21.0
42.3→41.3
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
Second
971B
#6
52.46.6
43.5→50.1
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
red by 20.7
2135B
#21
31.71.7
23.3→21.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.0
End2.2
Third
2073
#3
52.24.0
38.9→42.8
Auto9.1
Teleop38.4
End4.6
red by 25.7
6174
#13
26.51.0
30.7→29.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
49%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed