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Red65
1678B33.8
214433.5
Blue78
549928.7
417110.1
213530.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90640501502002506578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.82.1
36.434.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
red by 3.3
2135
#12
30.50.5
28.529.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End4.1
Second
2144
#18
33.51.2
38.136.9
Auto8.3
Teleop21.5
End3.7
red by 4.8
5499
#23
28.70.5
21.421.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Third
5.32.1
9.07.0
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.7
blue by 4.8
4171
#22
10.10.5
16.216.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed