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Red76
417110.1
132353.6
971C30.7
Blue47
349527.7
1678B33.8
425515.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110840501502007647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.8
49.247.4
Auto16.3
Teleop33.1
End4.2
red by 19.7
33.84.3
34.430.1
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
Second
30.73.0
37.434.4
Auto10.5
Teleop15.4
End4.8
red by 3.0
3495
#26
27.72.6
32.930.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End2.4
Third
4171
#22
10.11.8
16.614.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 5.0
4255
#32
15.12.6
18.315.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
45%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed