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Red122
214433.5
97344.2
281320.8
Blue100
1671B20.1
973B41.2
2135B31.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9378050150200250122100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#7
44.22.2
37.439.6
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End9.1
red by 3.0
41.21.5
33.935.4
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
Second
2144
#18
33.52.2
36.939.1
Auto8.3
Teleop21.5
End3.7
red by 1.8
31.72.4
21.624.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.0
End2.2
Third
2813
#29
20.82.2
14.216.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 0.6
20.11.5
22.524.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed