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Red109
999921.3
385937.2
1678B33.8
Blue102
348229.1
1323B31.7
281320.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9383050150200250109102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#17
37.21.3
35.136.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
red by 5.6
31.70.3
34.034.3
Auto2.8
Teleop25.5
End3.3
Second
33.81.8
34.336.1
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
red by 4.7
3482
#28
29.10.3
29.830.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Third
9999
#16
21.31.3
19.520.8
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End6.8
red by 0.6
2813
#29
20.80.3
18.418.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed