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Red111
585228.4
349527.7
971B52.4
Blue80
973B41.2
11436.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207805010015020025011180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.0
54.154.2
Auto15.7
Teleop32.1
End4.6
red by 11.1
41.20.1
38.638.4
Auto9.1
Teleop26.1
End6.0
Second
5852
#15
28.40.0
29.429.5
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 7.9
114
#14
36.30.1
37.136.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.8
End3.4
Third
3495
#26
27.70.0
26.927.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End2.4
red by 22.4
5.30.2
6.46.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed