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Red140
2135B31.7
167866.5
213530.5
Blue119
425515.1
207352.2
385937.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14596050200140119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.50.2
72.171.9
Auto17.9
Teleop42.8
End5.9
red by 14.3
52.21.3
50.251.5
Auto9.1
Teleop38.4
End4.6
Second
31.70.3
32.432.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.0
End2.2
blue by 5.5
3859
#17
37.21.3
36.537.7
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
Third
2135
#12
30.50.2
29.329.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End4.1
red by 15.4
4255
#32
15.11.3
13.514.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
38%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed