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Qual 642016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red63
585228.4
1678B33.8
1671B20.1
Blue119
281320.8
207352.2
549928.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871035015020063119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678B
#19
33.81.8
36.0→34.2
Auto2.9
Teleop24.7
End6.2
blue by 18.4
2073
#3
52.21.4
51.5→52.9
Auto9.1
Teleop38.4
End4.6
Second
5852
#15
28.41.6
29.5→27.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 0.3
5499
#23
28.71.4
27.1→28.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Third
1671B
#30
20.11.6
21.6→19.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 0.6
2813
#29
20.81.4
19.4→20.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed