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Qual 652016 MadTown ThrowDown
Red125
97173.4
385937.2
5817C5.3
Blue100
971C30.7
510430.7
214433.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13289050100150200125100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
73.40.8
78.2→77.3
Auto22.4
Teleop38.9
End12.0
red by 39.8
2144
#18
33.50.5
32.9→33.3
Auto8.3
Teleop21.5
End3.7
Second
3859
#17
37.20.8
37.7→36.9
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End4.8
red by 6.5
971C
#8
30.70.5
30.0→30.5
Auto10.5
Teleop15.4
End4.8
Third
5817C
#33
5.30.9
6.2→5.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End-0.7
blue by 25.4
5104
#10
30.70.5
30.1→30.5
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsMissed