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Red54
315833.0
477516.0
478213.4
Blue57
587424.2
440323.2
347214.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405502060805457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#1Sur
33.00.8
19.718.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 8.8
5874
#9Sur
24.20.6
14.415.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
4775
#11
16.00.8
9.68.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.6
blue by 7.2
23.20.6
22.623.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
4782
#35
13.40.8
12.111.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End0.4
blue by 0.9
3472
#28
14.30.6
14.415.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed