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Red39
593214.0
458418.9
620020.4
Blue52
347827.1
335414.6
531217.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402060801003952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#13
20.40.5
15.915.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.2
blue by 6.6
3478
#3Sur
27.10.4
24.123.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
Second
4584
#24
18.90.5
15.915.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
red by 1.2
5312
#18
17.60.4
13.813.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
5932
#45Sur
14.00.5
12.111.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 0.6
3354
#42
14.60.4
13.012.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed