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Red30
534415.7
610610.5
472316.2
Blue39
440023.5
473115.7
622915.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38391020305060703039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4723
#37
16.20.8
14.613.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 7.4
4400
#21
23.50.4
15.615.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End4.2
Second
5344
#44
15.70.8
12.912.1
Auto8.6
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Level
6229
#23
15.80.4
11.711.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
6106
#20
10.50.8
9.78.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 5.3
4731
#41
15.70.4
10.610.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed