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Red32
46856.7
588716.5
379413.8
Blue29
534415.7
426215.8
458418.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35430102030506070803229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#36
16.51.0
13.312.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End3.5
blue by 2.3
4584
#24
18.91.3
15.414.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Second
3794
#32
13.81.0
14.213.2
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End3.4
blue by 2.0
4262
#27
15.81.3
13.211.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Third
4685
#34
6.71.0
8.17.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End0.8
blue by 9.0
5344
#44
15.71.3
12.110.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsMissed16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed