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Red59
61345.7
440323.2
393319.1
Blue57
347827.1
472316.2
621815.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47540204060801005957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.3
23.324.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
blue by 3.8
27.10.0
23.623.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
Second
3933
#17
19.11.3
18.519.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 3.0
4723
#37
16.20.0
13.813.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
6134
#51
5.71.3
5.16.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End0.1
blue by 10.0
6218
#40
15.70.0
14.314.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed