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Red62
348022.2
435519.5
463525.5
Blue42
513313.9
478213.4
593214.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52330204060801006242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.6
20.622.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
red by 11.6
5932
#45
14.00.8
11.612.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Second
22.21.6
15.817.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End4.5
red by 8.3
5133
#25
13.90.8
11.812.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
4355
#12
19.51.6
11.613.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.9
red by 6.0
4782
#35
13.40.8
11.312.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed