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Red42
601012.4
473517.4
437113.8
Blue44
352220.9
477516.0
610610.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412802060804244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4735
#30
17.40.5
14.514.9
Auto8.4
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 3.5
3522
#26
20.91.7
11.112.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End4.5
Second
4371
#47
13.80.5
13.714.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
blue by 2.2
4775
#11
16.01.7
8.810.5
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.6
Third
6010
#39
12.40.5
9.610.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 1.9
6106
#20
10.51.7
8.910.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed