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Red62
621815.7
531217.6
440323.2
Blue60
463525.5
437113.8
228328.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5654203040607080906260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
21.822.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
blue by 5.0
28.20.8
20.321.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End5.5
Second
5312
#18
17.60.4
16.316.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.0
blue by 7.9
25.50.8
16.317.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
Third
6218
#40
15.70.3
15.716.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End3.8
red by 1.9
4371
#47
13.80.8
15.916.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed