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Red30
347214.3
617018.8
46856.7
Blue25
352612.3
393319.1
474610.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495602040801001203025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#29
18.85.2
18.813.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 0.3
3933
#17
19.13.1
20.917.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Second
3472
#28
14.32.0
17.915.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.2
red by 2.1
3526
#43
12.33.1
16.913.7
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
4685
#34
6.72.0
14.912.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End0.8
blue by 4.0
4746
#50
10.73.1
15.512.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed