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Red20
473115.7
472316.2
351011.3
Blue34
435519.5
601710.9
588716.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485220304060702034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4723
#37
16.23.0
16.613.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
blue by 3.3
4355
#12
19.51.7
18.316.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Second
4731
#41
15.73.0
15.512.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 0.8
5887
#36
16.52.6
16.513.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End3.5
Third
3510
#33
11.33.0
15.212.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
red by 0.4
6017
#14
10.93.0
10.913.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed