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Red40
426215.8
61345.7
615610.3
Blue56
435519.5
458418.9
347214.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22450103040506070804056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4262
#27
15.81.7
11.913.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 3.7
4355
#12
19.50.7
13.213.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Second
6156
#53
10.31.7
6.78.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 8.5
4584
#24
18.90.7
14.114.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Third
6134
#51
5.71.7
6.48.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End0.1
blue by 8.7
3472
#28
14.30.7
12.813.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed