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Red29
335414.6
57057.9
352720.3
Blue52
393319.1
401020.0
534415.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325101020406070802952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3527
#38
20.30.5
14.313.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3
red by 0.2
4010
#31
20.00.0
16.316.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
3354
#42
14.60.5
12.011.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.5
blue by 4.6
3933
#17
19.10.0
19.919.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Third
5705
#52
7.90.5
7.67.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End-0.4
blue by 7.9
5344
#44
15.70.0
10.810.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed15%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed