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Red42
473115.7
513313.9
484214.9
Blue65
426215.8
440323.2
477516.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315602040801004265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4731
#41
15.70.9
9.210.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 7.5
23.21.6
24.125.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Second
4842
#19
14.90.9
9.710.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 1.1
4775
#11
16.01.6
12.714.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.6
Third
5133
#25
13.90.9
15.216.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 1.9
4262
#27
15.81.6
13.615.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsMissed21%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed