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Red62
379413.8
440121.5
594817.0
Blue49
437113.8
588716.5
617018.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452030405060706249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.52.0
16.518.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End5.3
red by 2.7
6170
#29
18.80.0
16.416.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Second
5948
#22
17.02.0
15.017.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End3.8
red by 0.5
5887
#36
16.50.0
14.914.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End3.5
Third
3794
#32
13.82.0
12.514.5
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Level
4371
#47
13.80.0
13.013.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed