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Red49
401020.0
619918.8
571615.6
Blue25
622915.8
531217.6
351011.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504202060804925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#31
20.00.1
16.316.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 2.4
5312
#18
17.61.9
16.214.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Second
6199
#16
18.80.1
20.420.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End5.5
red by 3.1
6229
#23
15.81.9
15.914.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
5716
#10
15.60.1
11.011.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End3.0
red by 4.3
3510
#33
11.31.9
9.98.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
15%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed