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Red85
228328.2
60488.0
458418.9
Blue69
472316.2
473517.4
347214.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801001208569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.6
25.427.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End5.5
red by 10.8
4735
#30
17.41.9
14.416.3
Auto8.4
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Second
4584
#24
18.91.6
14.716.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
red by 2.7
4723
#37
16.21.9
13.715.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
6048
#46
8.01.6
15.617.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End-0.3
blue by 6.4
3472
#28
14.31.9
13.515.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned11%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed