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Red39
610610.5
61345.7
588716.5
Blue64
348022.2
587424.2
46856.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26500204060801003964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#36
16.50.5
16.116.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End3.5
blue by 7.7
24.22.0
20.922.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
6106
#20
10.50.5
8.99.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 11.7
22.21.8
20.622.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End4.5
Third
6134
#51
5.70.5
4.04.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End0.1
blue by 1.1
4685
#34
6.71.8
3.35.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed