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Red50
474610.7
477516.0
473115.7
Blue57
57057.9
401020.0
458418.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364102060801005057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#11
16.01.4
12.914.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End2.6
blue by 4.0
4010
#31
20.01.8
18.420.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
4731
#41
15.71.4
13.815.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 3.1
4584
#24
18.91.7
16.217.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Third
4746
#50
10.71.4
9.210.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End2.8
red by 2.8
5705
#52
7.91.7
4.86.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed14%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed