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Red72
620020.4
617018.8
351011.3
Blue61
352720.3
440323.2
601012.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3956020801007261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#13
20.42.5
16.619.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.2
blue by 2.8
23.20.9
22.223.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Second
6170
#29
18.82.5
16.919.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 1.5
3527
#38
20.30.9
18.619.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3
Third
3510
#33
11.32.5
7.39.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 1.1
6010
#39
12.40.9
11.011.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed