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Red114
350632.5
58731.1
397119.8
Blue72
585417.6
482829.8
544623.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10684406012014016011472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#11
32.50.3
32.132.4
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End7.8
red by 2.6
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.8
End5.5
Second
587
#6
31.10.3
30.831.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 7.9
5446
#13
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto9.6
Teleop9.1
End4.5
Third
3971
#19
19.80.3
19.419.7
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 2.1
5854
#22
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.8