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Red102
42225.5
340221.9
567925.9
Blue36
153327.3
516031.5
322911.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86915010015020010236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5679
#15
25.90.2
25.225.4
Auto11.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 5.6
31.50.8
32.331.5
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Second
422
#18
25.50.2
24.825.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End3.1
blue by 1.8
27.30.8
28.127.3
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End9.2
Third
3402
#10
21.90.2
21.221.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End4.9
red by 10.6
3229
#23
11.30.8
12.111.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.6