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Red82
205927.0
319623.1
340221.9
Blue80
493532.3
482829.8
322911.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64644050607080908280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.3
24.325.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.7
End3.7
blue by 5.3
32.31.2
30.131.3
Auto9.5
Teleop18.4
End4.4
Second
3196
#14
23.11.3
22.423.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End3.9
blue by 6.8
29.81.2
26.727.9
Auto9.5
Teleop14.8
End5.5
Third
3402
#10
21.91.3
15.817.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End4.9
red by 10.6
3229
#23
11.31.2
5.66.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed