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Red82
567925.9
368013.1
516031.5
Blue32
397119.8
264022.8
572721.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58522040801001208232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.7
25.527.2
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
red by 8.6
2640
#17
22.81.3
17.215.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End5.1
Second
5679
#15
25.91.7
21.823.6
Auto11.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
red by 4.4
5727
#16
21.51.3
17.716.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
Third
3680
#24
13.11.7
8.610.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 6.7
3971
#19
19.81.3
16.715.4
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed