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Red64
350632.5
476719.6
153327.3
Blue65
585417.6
58731.1
384521.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675502040801001206465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#11
32.50.0
26.326.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End7.8
red by 1.3
587
#6
31.10.3
22.322.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Second
27.30.0
24.224.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End9.2
red by 5.4
3845
#21
21.90.3
21.822.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
Third
4767
#12
19.60.0
13.313.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 2.0
5854
#22
17.60.3
11.712.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed