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Red46
122515.8
322911.3
340221.9
Blue111
350632.5
368013.1
58731.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316902040608010012046111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3402
#10
21.90.7
17.117.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End4.9
blue by 10.6
3506
#11
32.52.3
26.428.7
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End7.8
Second
1225
#20
15.80.7
12.813.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 15.3
587
#6
31.12.3
25.227.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
3229
#23
11.30.7
6.26.9
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.6
blue by 1.8
3680
#24
13.12.3
9.712.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed