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Red54
429033.4
567925.9
585417.6
Blue80
319623.1
476719.6
265535.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6873204060801001205480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.5
32.530.9
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End6.2
blue by 2.0
35.30.6
34.134.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.6
End5.4
Second
5679
#15
25.91.5
23.722.1
Auto11.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
red by 2.8
3196
#14
23.10.6
21.522.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End3.9
Third
5854
#22
17.61.5
11.09.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.8
blue by 2.0
4767
#12
19.60.6
14.915.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed