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Red144
23837.8
265535.3
368013.1
Blue92
350632.5
58731.1
397119.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910240608012014016018014492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#3
37.80.2
37.837.9
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End6.4
red by 5.4
3506
#11
32.50.2
32.232.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End7.8
Second
35.30.2
35.335.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.6
End5.4
red by 4.2
587
#6
31.10.2
30.931.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
3680
#24
13.10.2
13.113.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 6.7
3971
#19
19.80.2
19.619.8
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2