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Quarterfinal 2-12016 NC District - UNC Asheville Event
Red114
350632.5
58731.1
397119.8
Blue122
585417.6
482829.8
544623.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106804060120140160114122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#11
32.50.3
31.8→32.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End7.8
red by 2.6
4828
#7
29.80.8
28.7→29.5
Auto9.5
Teleop14.8
End5.5
Second
587
#6
31.10.3
30.5→30.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 7.9
5446
#13
23.20.8
22.1→22.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.1
End4.5
Third
3971
#19
19.80.3
19.1→19.4
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 2.1
5854
#22
17.60.8
16.5→17.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.8