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Red100
42225.5
340221.9
567925.9
Blue89
153327.3
516031.5
322911.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85915010015020010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5679
#15
25.90.1
25.125.2
Auto11.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 5.6
31.50.1
32.432.3
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Second
422
#18
25.50.1
24.724.8
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End3.1
blue by 1.8
27.30.1
28.228.1
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End9.2
Third
3402
#10
21.90.1
21.121.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End4.9
red by 10.6
3229
#23
11.30.1
12.212.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.6