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Red108
205928.7
544626.7
551124.0
Blue102
58732.9
482828.0
481624.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99111406080120140160108102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#18
28.70.2
28.628.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End3.1
blue by 4.2
587
#11
32.90.1
33.233.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End6.5
Second
26.70.2
26.626.8
Auto11.8
Teleop10.3
End4.6
blue by 1.3
28.00.1
28.328.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.2
Third
5511
#16
24.00.2
24.024.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End4.7
blue by 0.5
4816
#20
24.50.1
24.824.7
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End3.0